Prediction marketsPrediction markets

What is the Prediction Market program?

Prediction Market prop trading is a funded trading program where traders take “Yes” or “No” positions on future events. Instead of trading traditional markets like FX, CFDs or futures, traders predict whether a specific event or outcome will happen. The goal is to reach the required profit target while following all trading and risk rules.

What is the difference between an event and a market?

An event is the main situation being predicted. A market is a specific outcome within that event. One event can include several related markets.

What markets can I trade?

You can trade prediction markets available for this program on the platform.

What are “Yes” and “No” contracts?

A “Yes” contract pays $1 if the event happens as predicted, while a “No” contract pays $1 if it doesn’t. If the outcome goes against your contract, it expires worthless.

How are prediction market prices displayed?

Prices are displayed between 0 and 100. For example, a price of 30 means one contract costs $0.30, while a price of 75 means $0.75. A price near 100 means the market sees the outcome as more likely, while a price closer to 0 means it is viewed as less likely.

Can I close my position before the market is resolved?

Yes. You can close all or part of your position before the final result. Your profit or loss will depend on the price at which you entered and closed the position, as well as applicable fees and execution.

What happens if I hold a position until the market is resolved?

Your position will be settled based on the final market outcome. Winning contracts are worth $1 each, while losing contracts have no value.

Can I short a prediction market?

No. Short selling isn’t available. If you believe an event will not happen, you can buy a “No” contract instead.

Can I trade more than one market at the same time?

Yes. You can have positions in multiple markets at the same time, provided that you follow all applicable account and risk rules.

Are there any commissions?

Yes. A commission of $0.02 is charged per contract.

What is the One-Step Evaluation?

A One-Step Evaluation is a single phase where you need to reach a profit target while following all account rules and risk limits.

What is the Funded Phase?

The Funded Phase starts after you pass the Evaluation. You can continue trading prediction markets and earn profits that may be available for withdrawal, as long as you follow the payout requirements and account rules.

What is the Profit Target?

The Evaluation has a 10% Profit Target. You need to reach this target while following all program rules. There is no Profit Target on the Funded Account.

How long do I have to complete the Evaluation?

You have a maximum of 30 days to complete the Evaluation.

What are the rules for the Funded Account?

The Funded Account follows the main trading and risk rules of the Evaluation. The main difference is that there is no Profit Target on the Funded Account.

What is the Daily Drawdown limit?

The Daily Drawdown limit is 3%.

What is the Maximum Drawdown?

The Maximum Drawdown is 6% trailing. The drawdown level moves higher when your account reaches a new equity high.

What does equity-based drawdown mean?

Your account equity includes the value of your open positions. This means both realized and unrealized results can affect your drawdown limits.

What is the Maximum Position Size?

The maximum position size is limited to 5% of the starting account balance: $250 on $5K, $500 on $10K, $1,250 on $25K, $2,500 on $50K. You can open or increase a position up to this limit. Once you reach it, you cannot add more to the position. However, if the position's value increases due to market movements, it will not be closed automatically.

What is the Maximum Profit per Market?

The maximum permitted profit per market is 1% of the starting account balance: $50 on $5K, $100 on $10K, $250 on $25K, $500 on $50K. This limit applies to the total profit generated from a single market. Any profit exceeding the permitted limit may be adjusted in accordance with the program rules.

How long can I hold a trade?

The maximum trade holding period is 30 days. On a Funded Account, each position must be closed within 30 days of being opened. Positions that exceed this period may be subject to a trade adjustment.

Is there an inactivity rule?

The 15-day inactivity rule applies only to Funded Accounts. If there is no required trading activity for 15 consecutive days, the account may be affected under the inactivity rule.

What happens if I break a hard rule?

A hard rule violation can result in the failure of the Evaluation or closure of the Funded Account, depending on the account stage and the applicable program rules.

What are the Soft Breach Rules?

Soft Breach Rules are designed to support stable performance and responsible trading practices. They include limits on profit per market, position size and trade holding time. If a soft breach occurs, the affected trade may be adjusted in accordance with the program rules. A soft breach does not automatically result in account failure.

Why do we have Consistency and Risk Management Rules?

Our risk management rules are designed to encourage stable performance, controlled exposure and a consistent trading approach. Limits on profit concentration, position size, individual market exposure and holding periods help establish a structured trading environment and support responsible risk management.

What is the Profit Split?

The standard Profit Split is 75% / 25%. The trader receives 75% of eligible profits, while 25% is retained by the company.

When can I request a payout?

Payouts can be requested every 7 days, provided that all payout requirements are met and the account remains compliant with the program rules.

What is the minimum payout?

The minimum payout is 1% of the starting account balance: $50 on $5K, $100 on $10K, $250 on $25K, $500 on $50K.

What is the Consistency Score?

No single trading day may account for more than 25% of your total profits. This rule is checked when completing the Evaluation and when requesting a payout on a Funded Account, helping promote consistent trading performance.

Consistency % = (Highest Single Day Profit / Total Profit) × 100

Can I use inside information or manipulate the market?

No. The use of inside information, market manipulation and attempts to exploit technical or platform errors are not allowed. Violating these rules may result in an account breach or removal from the program.